Buyers December 12, 2023

Instead of Buying the Perfect House, What About Making the One You Buy Perfect?

There are 2️⃣ common hurdles many buyers are experiencing today, higher interest rates and home prices.

At the same time, there are still fewer homes available for sale to meet buyer demand. There are, however, ways to overcome these things, and still make homeownership a reality in 2024.

It starts out with being strategic and taking a close look at what features you really need in your next home versus which ones are nice to have. This will help you avoid over extending your budget and limiting your pool of options.

As I work with buyers, we discuss making a list to organize must haves, nice to haves and dream state. This way we have more options and can focus on finding the things that you can’t change such as location or in some instances a certain number of rooms and then we can focus on what you can upgrade or add as far as features or finishes later on.

What I have found is that the perfect home is often times the one you perfect after buying it. If you need help refining your list to find a home that meets your top needs with today’s limited housing supply, let’s connect and get strategic in finding a home that meet your needs while staying within your budget.

InvestingReal Estate December 8, 2023

10 Housing Predictions for 2024

Just announced were these 10 insightful predictions for 2024 from Matthew Gardner, Windermere’s Chief Economist. ⬇️

1️⃣ Although some suggest there will be a housing bubble in 2024, I find this implausible.

2️⃣ Inflation and the economy are starting to slow, which leads me to believe that mortgage rates will drop to around 6% in 2024.

3️⃣ I expect a modest increase in listing activity, but many homeowners will be hesitant to sell and lose their current mortgage rate.

4️⃣ I don’t expect prices to drop in 2024. However, growth will be a very modest 1%.

5️⃣ Home prices will match or exceed there are 2022 highs in the vast majority of metro areas across the country.

6️⃣ Although new construction remains, tepid, builders are benefiting from the lack of supply in the resale market and gaining greater market share.

7️⃣ With rising home prices and the pace of borrowing cost far exceeding income and gross, affordability will likely erode further in 2024.

8️⃣ Although the government has started to take housing and affordability more seriously, more needs to be done.

9️⃣ Mortgage delinquency levels will continue to rise in 2024, but they will simply be returning to the longer-term average and are not a cause for concern.

🔟 The number of homes for sale will improve modestly in 2024, which, combined with lower mortgage rates, should result in about 4.4 million home sales.

You can watch the full video with Matthew’s prediction by clicking here. For further conversation with questions of how this might effect your real estate goals in 2024, feel free to reach out to me.

BuyersHomeownersSellers December 8, 2023

When You Sell Your House, Where Do You Plan To Go?

If you’re thinking about selling your house, you may have heard the supply of homes for sale is still low, and that means your house should stand out to buyers who are craving more options. But you may also be wondering, once you sell, how does the current supply impact your own move? And, will you be able to find a home you want to buy with inventory this low?

One thing that can help you find your next home is exploring all your options, including both homes that have been lived in before as well as newly built ones. Let’s look at the benefits of each one.

The Pros of Newly Built Homes

First, let’s look at the advantages of purchasing a newly constructed home. With a brand-new home, you’ll be able to:

  1. Create your perfect home. If you build a home from the ground up, you’ll have the option to select the custom features you want, including appliances, finishes, landscaping, layout, and more.
  2. Cash-in on energy efficiency. When building a home, you can choose energy-efficient options to help lower your utility costs and reduce your carbon footprint.
  3. Minimize the need for repairs. Many builders offer a warranty, so you’ll have peace of mind on unlikely repairs. Plus, you won’t have as many little projects to tackle.
  4. Have brand new everything. Another perk of a new home is that nothing in the house is used. It’s all brand new and uniquely yours from day one.

The Pros of Existing Homes

Now, let’s compare that to the perks that come with buying an existing home. With a pre-existing home, you can:

  1. Explore a wider variety of home styles and floorplans. With decades of homes to choose from, you’ll have a broader range of floorplans and designs available.
  2. Join an established neighborhood. Existing homes give you the option to get to know the neighborhood, community, or traffic patterns before you commit.
  3. Enjoy mature trees and landscaping. Established neighborhoods also have more developed landscaping and trees, which can give you additional privacy and curb appeal.
  4. Appreciate that lived-in charm. The character of older homes is hard to reproduce. If you value timeless craftsmanship or design elements, you may prefer an existing home.

The choice is yours. When you start your search for the perfect home, remember that you can go either route – you just need to decide which features and benefits are most important to you. As an article from The Mortgage Reports says:

“When building, you gain more freedom to tailor the design, materials, and features, but it demands more time and involvement. Conversely, buying an established home offers immediate occupancy . . . yet may require compromises. Your choice should align with your budget, timeline, customization preferences, and the local real estate landscape.”

If you have questions about the options in our area, let’s discuss what’s available and what’s right for you.

BuyersHomeownersReal EstateSellers December 6, 2023

The Benefits of Buying New Construction

The benefits of buying new construction ⬇️

New-construction homes come with many advantages that aren’t found in older houses. Here’s a few things of importance to note when making your decision to purchase new vs. resale. 

1️⃣ New homes rarely need repairs/renovations. Oftentimes when purchasing a pre-owned home, the buyer will need to set aside funds to make necessary repairs or upgrades. With a new-construction home, everything is updated and in good working order, so there is little need to allocate additional money above and beyond the purchase price once you’ve moved in, with the exception on window coverings and other personal items. 

2️⃣ Some new-construction homes may be customizable. One of the exciting things about a new-construction versus a pre-existing home is that there is the possibility that you’ll get to make some design decisions to suit your personal tastes depending on when you go under contract in the build process. 

3️⃣ Lower maintenance costs. When you move into a space where everything is new, maintenance costs (and time) should remain at a minimum for at least the first few years. 

4️⃣ Most new-construction homes have warranties. Even when things are new, they may still break down. Fortunately, a new-construction home should have a warranty that will take care of it. Basically, the warranty is your protection from defects in workmanship.

5️⃣ A new-construction home will be up to code.

Building codes are the minimum design and construction requirements to ensure safe and resilient structures. You can be confident knowing that the home has been built to meet the local building code requirements

6️⃣ There may be buyer incentives for financing. 

7️⃣ It will have a more modern floor plan

While older homes might have character or quirky design features, the great thing about a new-construction home is that it will likely reflect the way homeowners live today.

If you’re considering buying new construction in the Skagit Valley or surrounding area, let’s connect. Determining whether it’s a good time to buy will need to be a personalized conversation and there is no one simple answer.

DM me or call me at 360-420-6807

https://daniellemartinrealestate.com/listing/WA/La-Conner/506-High-Street-98257/176120994

Photo provided by listing agents, Colleen Craig & Julie Birkle, Windermere Real Estate / Anacortes, Builder: BYK Construction Inc.

BuyersHomeownersReal EstateSellers December 5, 2023

Experts Project Home Prices Will Rise over the Next 5 Years

Even with so much data showing home prices are actually rising in most of the country, there are still a lot of people who worry there will be another price crash in the immediate future. In fact, a recent survey from Fannie Mae shows that 23% of consumers think prices will fall over the next 12 months. That’s nearly one in four people who are dealing with that fear – maybe you’re one of them.

To help ease that concern, here’s what the experts say will happen with home prices not just next year, but over the next five years.

Experts Project Ongoing Appreciation

While seeing a small handful of expert opinions may not be enough to change your mind, hopefully, a larger group of experts will reassure you. Here’s that larger group.

The Home Price Expectation Survey (HPES) from Pulsenomics is a great resource to show what experts forecast for home prices over a five-year period. It includes projections from over 100 economists, investment strategists, and housing market analysts. And the results from the latest quarterly release show home prices are expected to go up every year through 2027 (see graph below):

And while the projected increase in 2024 isn’t as large as 2023, remember home price appreciation is cumulative. In other words, if these experts are correct after your home’s value rises by 3.32% this year, it should go up by another 2.17% next year.

If you’re worried home prices are going to fall, here’s the big takeaway. Even though prices vary by local area, experts project they’ll continue to rise across the country for years to come at a pace that’s more normal for the market.

What Does This Mean for You?

If you’re not convinced yet, maybe these numbers will get your attention. They show how a typical home’s value could change over the next few years using the expert projections from the HPES. Check out the graph below:

In this example, let’s say you bought a $400,000 home at the beginning of this year. If you factor in the forecast from the HPES, you could potentially accumulate more than $71,000 in household wealth over the next five years.

If you’re someone who’s worried home prices are going to fall, rest assured a lot of experts say it’s just the opposite – nationally, home prices will continue to climb not just next year, but for years to come. If you have any questions or concerns about what’s next for home prices in our local area, let’s connect.

BuyersReal EstateSellers November 30, 2023

Are the Top 3 Housing Market Questions on Your Mind?

When it comes to what’s happening in the housing market, there’s a lot of confusion going around right now. You may hear one thing in conversation with your friends, see something totally different on the news, and read something on social media that contradicts both of those thoughts. And, if you’re thinking about making a move, that can leave you with a lot of lingering questions. That’s where a trusted local real estate agent comes in.

Here are the top 3 questions people are asking about today’s housing market, an d the data to help answer them.

1. What’s Next for Mortgage Rates?

Mortgage rates are higher than they’ve been in recent years. And, if you’re looking to buy a home, that impacts how much you can afford. That’s why so many buyers want to know what’s ahead for mortgage rates. The answer to that question is: no one can say for certain, but here’s what we know based on historical trends.

There’s a long-standing relationship between mortgage rates and inflation. Basically, when inflation is high, mortgage rates tend to follow suit. Over the past year, inflation was up, so mortgage rates were as well. But inflation is easing now. And this is why the Federal Reserve has recently paused their federal funds rate hikes, which means many experts believe mortgage rates will begin to come down.

And in some ways, we’ve started to see hints of slightly lower mortgage rates in recent weeks. But it’s certainly been volatile and will likely continue to be that way going into next year. Some ongoing variation is to be expected, but the anticipation is, that in 2024, we’ll see a downward trend. As Aziz Sunderji, Strategist at Home Economics, says:

“The bottom line is that interest rates are likely to be lower-perhaps even lower than many optimists think – in the weeks and months to come.”

2. Where Are Home Prices Headed?

While there’s been a lot of concern prices would come crashing down this year, data shows that didn’t happen. In fact, home prices are rising in most of the nation. Experts say that trend will continue, just at a slower pace that’s much more normal for the housing market – and that’s a good thing.

To help show just how confident experts are in this continued appreciation, take a look at the Home Price Expectation Survey from Pulsenomics. It’s a survey of a national panel of over 100 economists, real estate experts, and investment and market strategists. As the graph below shows, the consensus is, that prices will keep climbing next year, and in the years to come.

3. Is a Recession Around the Corner?

While recession talk has been a common thing over the past few years, there’s good news on that front.

The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) polls experts on this topic regularly. And last year at this time, most of them thought a recession would have happened by now. But as experts look at all the leading indicators today, they’re changing their minds and saying a recession is getting less and less likely. The latest results show that more experts now think we’re not headed for another recession.

This is big news for the housing market. And while the 48% to 52% split may seem close to half and half, the key thing to focus on is that the majority of these experts think we’ve avoided a recession already.

The big takeaway? The data shows there isn’t cause for concern – there are actually more signs of hope. Let’s connect to talk more about the housing market questions on your mind as we head into the new year.

HomeownersReal Estate November 28, 2023

Your Winter Home Maintenance Checklist

Winter is a magical season to spend at home. We all want to be able to enjoy the shorter days and longer nights from the comfort of our homes while we watch the season change.

To truly enjoy this winter at home with peace of mind, you’ll want to complete a home maintenance checklist to prevent unexpected costs, ensure your family’s safety and warmth, and keep your home in the best shape for the winter season ahead.

1. Weatherproof Windows & Doors

One of the best preparatory measures you can take to keep the cold from infiltrating your home is to weatherproof your windows and doors. Any leaks or cracks could lead to a chilly household and increased heating costs. Either weatherstripping or caulking will do the trick for minor leakage issues, but for any severe problems you may want to consider a replacement.

2. Protect Your Pipes from Freezing

Burst pipes can be disastrous regardless of the season, but winter temperatures pose a greater risk than any other time of the year. Be sure to wrap interior pipes to provide them some insulation against the change in temperature. You’ll want to bring all hoses inside but remember to turn off your exterior water source before you do.

3. Prepare for a Winter Storm

Being fully prepared for the winter ahead includes completing both preventative home maintenance and disaster preparedness tasks. Keep a supply of flashlights and batteries handy in case a power outage should occur. If you have a fireplace, stock up on firewood so you’ll have plenty of fuel for your heat source. It’s best for your family to put together an emergency kit and evacuation plan so you’re prepared for any local weather emergencies.

4. Chimney Sweep and Fireplace Maintenance

We become more reliant on fireplaces, wood burning stoves, and chimneys to heat our homes during the winter. Accordingly, it’s crucial to prepare for the uptick in their usage. Clear out your air vents before your daily fires begin. When your fireplace is not in use, be sure to close the damper to save energy. Clogged chimneys can lead to house fires and carbon monoxide poisoning. Investing in a chimney sweep can save you money in the long run, while avoiding health scares.

5. Clean Out Your Gutters

After all the leaves, pinecones, pine needles, and other autumnal debris have fallen, it’s best to clean out your gutters in preparation for winter. By keeping your gutters clean you’ll avoid gutter damage from melted snow draining improperly. Make sure your downspouts are pointing away from your home’s foundation to prevent basement leaks and flooding.

6. Heating System Maintenance

Keeping up on your heating system’s efficiency is an integral part of winter home maintenance. If you use a furnace, be sure to clean out your air filters and ducts, making replacements as needed. Covering your HVAC system can help to prevent damage from any debris or moisture getting in. To protect against heat loss, seal your ducts with mastic tape or foil tape.

7. Reverse Your Ceiling Fans

If you have ceilings fans in your home, there is a handy trick you can use to improve your home’s heating efficiency. By reversing the direction of your ceiling fan—running the blades in a clockwise direction—you’ll create a slight updraft, forcing warm air near the ceiling downward.

8. Bring Your Plants Inside  

The winter season usually spells trouble for your potted plants. However, there are methods to keep them alive indoors through the winter months. You’ll want to provide continual air circulation, so keep a fan blowing in the direction of the plants. It’s best to mirror the conditions the plants will face outdoors, so you can afford to keep watering to a minimum. Since it is a harsher season, keep a close eye on your plants as the winter progresses.

After your checklist is completely crossed off, you’ll be able to kick back, relax, and enjoy your winter at home in comfort knowing your home is primed and ready for the winter season ahead.

InvestingReal Estate November 27, 2023

Is Wall Street Buying Up All the Homes in America?

If you’re thinking about buying a home, you may find yourself interested in the latest real estate headlines so you can have a pulse on all of the things that could impact your decision. If that’s the case, you’ve probably heard mention of investors, and wondered how they’re impacting the housing market right now.
According to SFR Investor, which studies the single-family rental market in the United States, there are eighty-two million single-family homes in this country. According to data shared, sixty-eight million (82.93%) of those homes are owner-occupied – meaning the person who owns the home lives in it. If you subtract that sixty-eight million from the total number of single-family homes (82 million), that leaves just about fourteen million homes left that are single-family rentals (SFRs).
There are four categories of investors (see photo). These categories show that not all investors are large institutional investors. To help convey that even more clearly, the percentages of rental homes owned by each type of investor are shown in the chart. The green shows the vast majority are not owned by large institutional investors. Instead, most are owned by small mom & pop investors, like your friends and neighbors.
What’s actually happening is, that there are people out there, just like you, who believe in homeownership, and they view buying a home (or a second home) as an investment. Maybe they saw an opportunity to buy a second home over the last few years to use it as a rental and generate additional income. Or maybe they just decided to keep their first house rather than sell it when they moved up. If you have other questions about things you’re hearing about the housing market, let’s connect so you have an expert to give you the context you need.
BuyersReal Estate February 20, 2023

What not to do before buying a house: 6 Mistakes to avoid

Set yourself up for home buying success

In today’s competitive housing market, buyers need to be strategic to get the home they want.

Luckily, there are some simple best practices you can follow when house hunting and applying for a mortgage that will put you on the road to success.

If you know what to expect — and how to avoid common home buying mistakes — you can give yourself the best possible shot at scoring the home you want. Here’s what to do.

Mistakes can cost you when buying a house

When you’re preparing to get a mortgage and buy a new home, it’s important to clean up your personal finances and present yourself as a strong borrowing candidate.

However, that doesn’t just mean saving up cash for a down payment and closing costs.

It also means avoiding common financial mistakes that can reduce your borrowing power — or even, in a worst-case scenario, get you denied for a mortgage.

“Most buyers are so preoccupied with simply saving up for a down payment and getting their foot in the door that they forget about the little details that can trip you up — such as a low credit score and paying down their debt,” says Michele Harrington, COO of First Team Real Estate.

Don’t get so caught up in saving and house hunting that you forget about other details that impact your mortgage.

Khari Washington, broker and owner of 1st United Realty & Mortgage, agrees.

“It’s easy for a home buyer to make mistakes during this process because this transaction is one of the most expensive things a person will engage in during their lifetime,” says Washington.

“Buying a home entails a lot of different activities going on at the same time. There are house condition issues, mortgage financing issues, contract negotiation issues, and appraisal issues that can all cause problems, distract you, and lead to errors in judgment if you are not careful,” he cautions.

So, what do you need to look out for? And how can you set yourself up for success?

6 Things you should never do before buying a house

Here are some of the most common mistakes first-time home buyers make, why they matter, and how to avoid them.

1. Don’t finance a car or another big item before buying

Jim Roberts, president of True North Mortgage, says the biggest mistake buyers can make is to finance a car just before applying for a mortgage loan.

“Equally troublesome is when buyers wish to go out and purchase new furniture and appliances on credit before their new mortgage closes,” he explains.

“All of these activities are a big no-no, as lenders will do a final credit inquiry check before closing; if new debts were added, it could jeopardize the loan approval.”

And it’s not just your FICO score that’s at risk.

Taking out a loan on a car or financing a big-ticket item like a boat, wedding, or vacation can increase your debt-to-income ratio (DTI), making you look like a less attractive borrower to a lender.

“If your DTI is above a certain threshold — typically around 43% — then you are considered a risky borrower,” Harrington cautions. “Avoid making any big purchases or financing a new car for six months or a year before you want to purchase a home.”

2. Don’t max out credit card debt

Maxing out a credit card is one of the worst things you can do before closing on a home loan.

“The extra debt payment amount will offset your income and result in you qualifying for less mortgage financing,” Washington says. “It will also lower your credit score, which could increase the cost of your loan.”

Roberts notes that, in the credit scoring system, the actual debt amount doesn’t matter — you could owe $2,000 or $20,000.

What they care about is how much you owe relative to your credit limits,” says Roberts.

“If you owe $2,000 and your limit on the card is $2,500, your card is nearly maxed out and it will lead to drastically reduced credit scores — resulting in higher rates and monthly payments when it comes to getting a loan,” he explains.

For the best mortgage rate — and in the interest of keeping debt levels down — try to keep your credit utilization below 30% of your total credit limit.

For instance, if your credit card allows up to $3,000, try to maintain a balance below $900. And pay the card off in full every month, if you can.

This will improve your credit score, reduce your debts, and help you qualify for the best possible home loan.

3. Don’t assume you need 20% down

Many first-time buyers assume they need a 20 percent down payment to buy a house. But while having 20 percent down comes with perks — like avoiding private mortgage insurance (PMI) — it’s not always the best option.

Waiting until you have 20 percent down can push your home buying timeline out by years. And the longer you wait to buy, the higher home prices you’ll be chasing — which likely means you’ll need an even bigger down payment.

Luckily, there are several loan programs available today that require little to no down payment. These include:

  • A 0% down VA loan (available to qualified military/veteran borrowers)
  • A 0% down USDA loan (available in select rural and suburban areas)
  • A 3.5% down FHA loan
  • A 5-10% down conventional mortgage

“Also, some conventional loans can require as little as 3% down if you pay mortgage insurance,” Washington points out.

Typically, you need to pay mortgage insurance if you put less than 20 percent down. But the good news is that mortgage insurance companies today charge more affordable monthly premiums than they did years ago for borrowers with good credit.

“A lot of times it makes sense to put less money down and pay off other debts instead of trying to put 20 percent down on a home just to avoid paying mortgage insurance,” Roberts says.

4. Don’t quit your job or change careers before buying

Demonstrating consistent employment is essential when applying and getting approved for a mortgage loan.

“Job changes can create lending issues, especially if your pay structure changes from salary to commission, as this necessitates a longer track record of earnings — typically two years when it comes to commissions,” Roberts adds.

“A change from salary to hourly can also create some lending headaches, as hourly earners can have variations in their income simply based on how much they work,” he explains.

Roberts’ rule of thumb? Aim for a consistent employment history of two years or more at the same employer or at least in the same line of work.

If you already work in accounting, for example, switching from one accounting firm to another shortly before you buy a home won’t set off any red flags for your lender.

But if you switch to a totally new field — for example, from accounting to hairdressing — you’ll likely need to work a full two years in the new industry before you can qualify.

5. Don’t shop for houses without getting pre-approved

Before you go house hunting, it’s crucial to get a mortgage pre-approval. Otherwise, you could be setting yourself up for disappointment.

“If a prospective buyer finds a house they love and afterward tries to get pre-approved for a loan, the home may be gone before they finish getting pre-approved. In addition, many sellers want to show their home to serious buyers only and will request a pre-approval letter from the buyer,” says Washington.

There’s another compelling reason to get pre-approved early in the process, too.

“Often, you really have no idea how much house you can afford until you get pre-approved by a lender,” Harrington says.

The pre-approval process involves applying with a lender who will check your income, credit history, and assets. Only after verifying these documents can a lender approve you for a home loan and tell you your real price range.

6. Don’t make any big financial changes before closing

Once you have a signed purchase agreement and you’re approved for a home loan, you’ll go through the final stages of underwriting.

This is mostly a waiting game while the lender re-checks your financials and issues final approval. But don’t be lulled into thinking it’s a done deal. Nothing is official until you’ve signed the final closing papers.

The last thing you want to do while waiting for final loan approval is to make major financial changes, such as:

  • Purchasing a car
  • Significantly increasing your credit card balance
  • Opening up new credit cards
  • Changing careers
  • Applying for new loans or lines of credit

“It’s tempting to use any extra funds you have to buy thousands of dollars worth of furniture or open up a Home Depot credit card so that you can save money on new appliances. But those moves can easily tip the delicate balance of your DTI and throw off your creditworthiness so that you no longer qualify for a loan,” notes Harrington.

Remember: Loan approval isn’t final until the loan funds, at which time the house will be in your name.

“But before that time, a lender can rescind approval if a material change to the buyer’s situation occurs,” Roberts says.

So maintain a financial quiet period prior to closing, and don’t do anything that could put your final approval — and your home purchase — in jeopardy.

Best practices when buying a house

To improve your odds of getting mortgage-approved and qualifying for a lower interest rate, be financially prudent in the weeks and months before you apply for a home loan.

Roberts suggests three best practices to follow before buying a home:

  • First, do not close any active credit accounts. Keep any active revolving accounts open
  • Next, do not apply for or open any new credit accounts
  • Additionally, strive to pay down your credit balances to 30% of your credit limit or less

Of course, you’ll want to save up as much cash as possible.

Remember that your down payment isn’t the only upfront home buying expense. You’ll also have to pay closing costs, which typically equal 2-5% of the loan amount (or $2,000 to $5,000 for every $100,000 borrowed).

You should keep track of any large deposits to your bank accounts, too. “If you make any deposits into your checking or savings accounts that are not payroll deposits, be prepared to document where they came from,” Roberts adds.

Lastly, review your three free credit reports (available at Annualcreditreport.com) and work to correct or remove any errors or inconsistencies you notice there.

Recap: What not to do before buying a house

Yes, it’s a competitive market. But there are still homes to be had for savvy buyers.

To recap, here are the seven things you should never do right before buying a home:

  1. Take out a car loan or finance other big items
  2. Max out your credit cards
  3. Assume you need 20% down
  4. Quit or change jobs to a new field
  5. Go house hunting before getting pre-approved
  6. Make big financial changes prior to closing

As long as you avoid these mistakes during the home buying process — and keep your finances in the best shape possible — you should be on the right track to homeownership.

HomeownersSellers February 4, 2023

Why You Shouldn’t Fear Today’s Foreclosure Headlines

Why You Shouldn’t Fear Today’s Foreclosure Headlines

If you’ve seen recent headlines about foreclosures surging in the housing market, you’re certainly not alone. There’s no doubt, the stories in the media can be pretty confusing right now. They may even make you think twice about buying a home for fear that prices could crash. The reality is, the data shows a foreclosure crisis is not where the market is headed, and understanding what that really means is mission critical if you want to know the truth about what’s happening today. Here’s a deeper look.

According to the Year-End 2022 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report from ATTOMforeclosure filings are up 115% from 2021, but down 34% from 2019. As media headlines grab onto this 115% increase, it’s more important than ever to put that percentage into context.

While the number of foreclosure filings did more than double last year, we need to remember why that happened and how it compares to more normal, pre-pandemic years in the market. Thanks to the forbearance program and other relief options for homeowners, foreclosure filings were down to record-low levels in 2020 and 2021, so any increase last year is — no surprise — a jump up. Rick Sharga, Executive VP of Market Intelligence at ATTOM, notes:

“Eighteen months after the end of the government’s foreclosure moratorium, and with less than five percent of the 8.4 million borrowers who entered the CARES Act forbearance program remaining, foreclosure activity remains significantly lower than it was prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. It seems clear that government and mortgage industry efforts during the pandemic, coupled with a strong economy, have helped prevent millions of unnecessary foreclosures.”

Clearly, these options meant millions of homeowners could stay in their homes, allowing them to get back on their feet during a very challenging period. With home values rising at the same time, many homeowners who may have found themselves facing foreclosure under other circumstances were able to leverage their equity and sell their houses rather than face foreclosure, and that trend continues today.

And remember, as the graph below shows, foreclosures today are far below the record-high 2.9 million that were reported in 2010 when the housing market crashed.

Why You Shouldn’t Fear Today’s Foreclosure Headlines | MyKCM

So, while foreclosures are rising, keeping perspective in mind is key. As Bill McBride, Founder and Author of Calculated Risk, noted just last week:

“The bottom line is there will be an increase in foreclosures over the next year (from record low levels), but there will not be a huge wave of distressed sales as happened following the housing bubble. The distressed sales during the housing bust led to cascading price declines, and that will not happen this time.”

Bottom Line

Right now, putting the data into context is more important than ever. While the housing market is experiencing an expected rise in foreclosures, it’s nowhere near the crisis levels seen when the housing bubble burst, and that won’t lead to a crash in home prices.